Coastal erosion prediction using Bayesian networks – Complete Phd and Masters Thesis

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Introduction

Coastal erosion is a significant environmental issue that affects coastal communities worldwide. It is defined as the loss of coastal land due to the actions of waves, currents, and sea level rise. Prediction of coastal erosion is important for coastal management and planning to mitigate its impact on both human communities and natural ecosystems. Traditional methods of predicting coastal erosion often rely on complex mathematical models that may not fully capture the dynamics of this process.

In recent years, Bayesian networks have emerged as a powerful tool for modeling complex systems, including those in the field of environmental science. Bayesian networks are graphical models that represent probabilistic relationships between variables, allowing for the incorporation of uncertainty and variability in the modeling process. This thesis aims to explore the use of Bayesian networks for predicting coastal erosion and to evaluate their effectiveness in comparison to traditional methods.

Chapter 1: Introduction

1.1 Introduction
1.2 Background of study
1.3 Problem Statement
1.4 Objective of study
1.5 Limitation of study
1.6 Scope of study
1.7 Significance of study
1.8 Structure of the Thesis
1.9 Definition of terms

Chapter 2: Literature Review

2.1 Overview of coastal erosion
2.2 Traditional methods for coastal erosion prediction
2.3 Introduction to Bayesian networks
2.4 Applications of Bayesian networks in environmental science
2.5 Bayesian networks for coastal erosion prediction
2.6 Case studies of Bayesian networks in coastal erosion prediction
2.7 Advantages and disadvantages of Bayesian networks
2.8 Comparison of Bayesian networks with traditional methods
2.9 Future research directions
2.10 Summary of literature review

Chapter 3: Research Methodology

3.1 Research design
3.2 Data collection and preprocessing
3.3 Variable selection and Bayesian network construction
3.4 Model validation and evaluation
3.5 Sensitivity analysis
3.6 Case study site selection
3.7 Model implementation
3.8 Ethical considerations
3.9 Data analysis techniques

Chapter 4: Discussion of Findings

4.1 Overview of data analysis results
4.2 Comparison of Bayesian network predictions with traditional methods
4.3 Sensitivity analysis results
4.4 Case study findings
4.5 Implications for coastal management
4.6 Limitations of the study
4.7 Recommendations for future research
4.8 Conclusion

Chapter 5: Conclusion and Summary

This chapter will provide a summary of the main findings of the study and discuss their implications for coastal erosion prediction using Bayesian networks. It will also provide a conclusion on the effectiveness of Bayesian networks in this context and suggest avenues for further research in this area.

Thesis Overview on Coastal Erosion Prediction using Bayesian Networks

Coastal erosion is a pressing environmental issue that poses significant challenges to coastal communities around the world. The prediction of coastal erosion is essential for effective coastal management and planning to mitigate its adverse effects on both human populations and natural habitats. While traditional methods of predicting coastal erosion have relied on complex mathematical models, there is a growing interest in exploring alternative approaches, such as Bayesian networks.

This thesis aims to investigate the potential of Bayesian networks for predicting coastal erosion and assess their efficacy compared to traditional methods. The research will involve a comprehensive literature review to establish the theoretical foundation for the study and explore the applications of Bayesian networks in environmental science. The methodology will involve data collection, preprocessing, variable selection, Bayesian network construction, model validation, sensitivity analysis, and case study implementation.

The findings from this study will be discussed in detail, including a comparison of Bayesian network predictions with traditional methods, sensitivity analysis results, case study findings, and implications for coastal management. The limitations of the study will be acknowledged, and recommendations for future research will be provided. The thesis will conclude with a summary of the main findings and their significance for coastal erosion prediction using Bayesian networks, as well as suggestions for further research in this area.

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