Overconfidence bias in corporate investment decisions – Complete Phd and Masters Thesis

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Introduction

In the corporate world, investment decisions play a crucial role in determining the success or failure of a company. These decisions are often made by top executives who may be prone to cognitive biases, such as overconfidence bias, which can lead to suboptimal outcomes. Overconfidence bias refers to the tendency of individuals to overestimate their abilities, knowledge, and the accuracy of their predictions. This bias can have significant implications for corporate investment decisions, as executives may take excessive risks or make decisions based on flawed information.

This thesis aims to explore the impact of overconfidence bias on corporate investment decisions and how it influences the overall performance of companies. By examining the underlying mechanisms of this bias and its effects on decision-making processes, this study seeks to provide valuable insights for practitioners and policymakers in the corporate finance field.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Background of study
1.3 Problem Statement
1.4 Objective of study
1.5 Limitation of study
1.6 Scope of study
1.7 Significance of study
1.8 Structure of the Thesis
1.9 Definition of terms

Chapter 2: Literature Review
2.1 Overview of cognitive biases in decision-making
2.2 Theoretical framework of overconfidence bias
2.3 Empirical evidence on the impact of overconfidence bias in corporate investment decisions
2.4 Factors influencing overconfidence bias
2.5 Effects of overconfidence bias on investment outcomes
2.6 Strategies to mitigate overconfidence bias
2.7 Comparison with other biases in corporate decision-making
2.8 The role of corporate governance in addressing overconfidence bias
2.9 Summary of key findings in existing literature
2.10 Gaps in current research

Chapter 3: Research Methodology
3.1 Research design
3.2 Data collection methods
3.3 Sample selection
3.4 Variables and measures
3.5 Data analysis techniques
3.6 Hypothesis development
3.7 Ethical considerations
3.8 Limitations of the research methodology

Chapter 4: Discussion of Findings
4.1 Descriptive analysis of the sample
4.2 Relationship between overconfidence bias and investment decisions
4.3 Moderating effects of firm characteristics
4.4 Comparison with theoretical predictions
4.5 Implications for practice
4.6 Recommendations for future research
4.7 Limitations of the study
4.8 Conclusion

Chapter 5: Conclusion and Summary
5.1 Summary of key findings
5.2 Contributions to the literature
5.3 Practical implications
5.4 Recommendations for practitioners
5.5 Limitations of the study
5.6 Directions for future research
5.7 Conclusion

Thesis Overview on Overconfidence Bias in Corporate Investment Decisions

Overconfidence bias is a prevalent cognitive bias that affects decision-making processes in various contexts, including corporate investment decisions. This thesis aims to investigate the impact of overconfidence bias on corporate investment decisions and its implications for companies’ performance. By examining the underlying mechanisms of this bias and its effects on decision-making processes, this study seeks to provide valuable insights for practitioners and policymakers in the corporate finance field.

Chapter 1 provides an introduction to the topic, including the background of the study, problem statement, objectives, scope, significance, and structure of the thesis. It also includes definitions of key terms related to overconfidence bias in corporate investment decisions.

Chapter 2 presents a comprehensive literature review on cognitive biases in decision-making, the theoretical framework of overconfidence bias, empirical evidence on its impact in corporate settings, factors influencing overconfidence bias, effects on investment outcomes, strategies to mitigate it, comparison with other biases, and the role of corporate governance.

Chapter 3 outlines the research methodology, including the research design, data collection methods, sample selection, variables and measures, data analysis techniques, hypothesis development, ethical considerations, and limitations.

Chapter 4 discusses the findings of the study, including descriptive analysis of the sample, the relationship between overconfidence bias and investment decisions, moderating effects of firm characteristics, comparison with theoretical predictions, implications for practice, recommendations for future research, limitations, and conclusion.

Chapter 5 provides a conclusion and summary of key findings, contributions to the literature, practical implications, recommendations for practitioners, limitations of the study, directions for future research, and a conclusion. This thesis aims to advance understanding of overconfidence bias in corporate investment decisions and provide actionable insights for improving decision-making processes in companies.

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