Interpretable machine learning for loan default prediction – Complete Phd and Masters Thesis

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Introduction

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly being used in a variety of applications, including loan default prediction. However, the black-box nature of many machine learning models makes it challenging to understand the reasons behind their predictions. This lack of interpretability can hinder the adoption of these models in real-world decision-making processes, such as loan approval.

Interpretable machine learning techniques aim to provide explanations for the predictions made by such models, making them more transparent and understandable to users. In this thesis, we focus on the application of interpretable machine learning for loan default prediction, with the goal of enhancing the interpretability and trustworthiness of predictive models in the financial domain.

This chapter provides an overview of the research background, problem statement, objectives, limitations, scope, significance, and structure of the thesis. Additionally, key terms relevant to the study are defined to provide clarity for readers.

1.2 Background of Study
1.3 Problem Statement
1.4 Objective of Study
1.5 Limitation of Study
1.6 Scope of Study
1.7 Significance of Study
1.8 Structure of the Thesis
1.9 Definition of Terms

Chapter 2: Literature Review
2.1 Introduction to Machine Learning for Loan Default Prediction
2.2 Interpretable Machine Learning Techniques
2.3 Explainable AI in Finance
2.4 Importance of Interpretability in Loan Default Prediction
2.5 Challenges in Interpretable Machine Learning
2.6 Previous Studies on Interpretable Machine Learning for Loan Default Prediction
2.7 Comparison of Interpretability Techniques
2.8 Factors Affecting Loan Default Prediction
2.9 Data Preprocessing Techniques
2.10 Evaluation Metrics for Predictive Models

Chapter 3: Research Methodology
3.1 Research Design
3.2 Data Collection and Preprocessing
3.3 Feature Selection
3.4 Model Selection
3.5 Interpretable Machine Learning Algorithms
3.6 Evaluation Methodology
3.7 Performance Metrics
3.8 Ethical Considerations

Chapter 4: Discussion of Findings
4.1 Model Performance Analysis
4.2 Interpretability of Predictive Models
4.3 Feature Importance Analysis
4.4 Impact of Interpretability on Decision-Making
4.5 Comparison with Black-Box Models
4.6 Implementation Challenges
4.7 Recommendations for Future Research
4.8 Practical Implications

Chapter 5: Conclusion and Summary
5.1 Summary of Findings
5.2 Contributions to Literature
5.3 Implications for Practice
5.4 Limitations of the Study
5.5 Future Research Directions
5.6 Conclusion

Thesis Overview on Interpretable Machine Learning for Loan Default Prediction

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly used for loan default prediction, but their lack of interpretability can hinder their adoption in real-world decision-making. This thesis focuses on the application of interpretable machine learning techniques to enhance the transparency and trustworthiness of predictive models in the financial domain. The literature review explores the importance of interpretable machine learning in finance and compares different techniques for improving model interpretability. The research methodology section outlines the design, data collection, and evaluation process for developing interpretable predictive models. The discussion of findings analyzes the performance and interpretability of the models, highlighting the impact on decision-making processes. The conclusion summarizes the key findings, contributions to literature, implications for practice, and recommendations for future research in this field. Through this thesis, we aim to bridge the gap between complex machine learning models and actionable insights for loan default prediction in the financial industry.

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